Petro Poroshenko’s Block and Oleh Liashko’s Radical Party are leading the electoral race. “People’s Front” and “Self-Help” also enter parliament


These are the results of public opinion poll conducted by Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation and Kyiv International Institute of Sociology during October 9-18, 2014. Meanwhile, 32% of those respondents who expressed their willingness to vote haven’t yet decided whom to vote for.

Currently, 4 parties are crossing electoral threshold:

Petro Poroshenko’s Block – 20.5%.

Oleh Liashko’s Radical Party – 8.6%.

Political Party “People’s Front” – 6.8%.

Union “Self-Help” – 5.8%.

All-Ukrainian Union “Motherland” also came close to 5-% threshold, having gained 4.7%.

At the same time, it is obvious that 32% of undecided voters is a great potential for these and other parties. I.e., if only those who had already decided voted, 7 parties would enter Verkhovna Rada:

Petro Poroshenko’s Block – 30.4%.

Oleh Liashko’s Radical Party – 12.9%.

Political Party “People’s Front” – 10.8%.

Union “Self-Help” – 8.5%.

All-Ukrainian Union “Motherland” – 7.5%.

Serhiy Tihipko’s Party “Strong Ukraine” – 5.6%.

Party “Opposition Block” – 5.9%.

Anatoliy Hrytsenko’s Civic Position and Communist Party of Ukraine in such hypothetical scenario would also have chances of entering parliament, having 4.8% and 4.1% respectively.

However, 32% of undecided voters could cast their votes differently.

 

Public opinion poll was conducted in 110 settlements in all regions of Ukraine, except Crimea. Also, during the period of polling work, there was no possibility to conduct it in Luhansk; thus, the quota of Donetsk was enlarged. Totally, 2025 respondents were interviewed. The statistical error does not exceed 2.2%.

If you are going to participate in the elections, whom you are going to vote for?

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Party

% of those who are going to vote

% of those who are going to vote and have decided whom to vote for

1

Oleh Liashko’s Radical Party

8,6

12,9

2

Party “Solidarity of Women of Ukraine”

0,4

0,5

3

Political Party “Internet-Party of Ukraine”

0,35

0,6

4

Political Party “Opposition Block” 

3,6

5,9

5

Political Party “People’s Front”

6,8

10,8

6

Political Party “5.10”

0,1

0,2

7

Political Party “All-Ukrainian Agrarian Union “Spade”

1,0

1,4

8

Party “Renaissance”

0,2

0,3

9

Political Party “New Politics”

0,2

0,3

10

Political Party “Single Country”

0,2

0,3

11

Political Party “People’s Force”

0,0

0,0

12

Political Party “All-Ukrainian Union “Freedom”

2,0

3,1

13

National Democratic Party of Ukraine

0,1

0,1

14

Communist Party of Ukraine

2,8

4,1

15

Political Party “Union “Self-Help”

5,8

8,5

16

Political Party “All-Ukrainian Political Union “Ukraine Is a Single Country”

0,3

0,4

17

Political Party “Right Sector”

1,25

1,9

18

Political Party "Ukraine of Future"

0,15

0,2

19

Liberal Party of Ukraine

0,0

0,0

20

Party of Greens of Ukraine

0,0

0,0

21

Ukrainian Party “Green Planet”

0,3

0,5

22

Party “Petro Poroshenko’s Block”

20,5

30,4

23

Political Party “Force and Honesty”

0,0

0,0

24

Political Party “Congress of Ukrainian Nationalists”

0,0

0,0

25

Serhiy Tihipko’s Party “Strong Ukraine”

3,75

5,6

26

Political Party “All-Ukrainian Union “Motherland”

4,7

7,5

27

Political Party “Civic Position (Anatoliy Hrytsenko)”

3,3

4,8

28

Block of Left Forces of Ukraine

0,0

0,1

29

Civic Movement of Ukraine

0,0

0,1

30

Crossed out all of them or spoiled the ballot

1,15

-

31

Difficult to say

32,2

-